According to the All-Ukrainian nationally representative poll, conducted by Info Sapiens on 14-15 March, 2022, 84% of Ukrainians oppose the official recognition of Crimea as part of Russia as a condition for ending the war (whereas on 3-4 March the number was 75%), and 83% of Ukrainians are against the official recognition of the formerly occupied areas of Donbass as part of Russia (in the first wave of the survey the number was 79%). At the same time, the share of those who oppose the ban on Ukraine’s accession to NATO fell from 56% to 51%.
70% of Ukrainians are ready to personally offer armed resistance to end the Russian occupation of Ukraine: in particular, 79% of men and 59% of women. This is slightly different form the last wave, however, the share of those who do not want to take up arms have dropped significantly from 28% to 23% mainly because of women (in the first wave of the survey 36% of women did not want to take up arms, and now it is 29%).
The share of those who consider Ukrainian their native language has also increased from 77% to 81%.
75% of Ukrainians believe that ordinary Russians are guilty of armed aggression, and 17% of Ukrainians believe the opposite (it differs from 66% and 30% in the first wave of survey, accordingly).
Regarding the personal situation, 13% of Ukrainians went to other settlements within Ukraine (we did not interview those who went abroad, as most refugees do not respond due to the high cost of roaming).
The most common reasons why people do not leave are “This is my home, I don’t want to leave it” (57%) and “I want to fight and protect” (22%).
34% of Ukrainians feel in danger during the day and 48% of Ukrainins feel in danger at night time. This is roughly in line with the previous wave.
Only 10% of Ukrainians believe that the war will end within a week, while the majority (62%) believe that it will last from a few weeks to more than a year.
91% of Ukrainians are convinced that Ukraine will be able to repel Russian attack and only 5% doubt it.
Research Information
The sample of the study consists of 1032 respondents. The survey was conducted by CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers. The sample is representative of the adult population of Ukraine (ages of 18 and older) by gender, age, size of settlement and region of residence. The Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol were removed from the study. In Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, the survey was conducted only in the territories controlled by Ukraine. Aslo, the survey does not cover Ukrainians who have gone abroad.
The maximum theoretical error does not exceed 3.1%. The survey was conducted on 14-15 March, 2022.